A grande revolução empírica nos estudos de desenvolvimento econômico chegou: tchau resíduo de Solow!

Com os novos bancos de dados de produção setorial e matrizes insumo produto, novas técnicas de big data e redes e novas bases empíricas de comércio não dá mais para ignorar: os modelos de crescimento ortodoxos baseados em grandes agregados falharam ao não perceber os detalhes do processo de Enriquecimento das nações (Modelos de solow e coisas do tipo. Nesses modelos não há setores nem produtos distintos). Deus está nos detalhes. Nos próximos anos veremos um tsunami de trabalhos empíricos usando big data de comércio internacional e dados setoriais de emprego mostrando o que os velhos estruturalistas sempre disseram: a estrutura importa! É só esperar para ver!


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